← GRAND ARCHIVE MELAKA REGIONAL OCTOBER 26
Wind Wakeup ComboTier 2
at GRAND ARCHIVE MELAKA REGIONAL OCTOBER 26
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.9% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 43.0% | -3.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.2% | -6.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.9% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 45.0% | -2.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 60.5% | +7.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.5% | +23.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.1% | -0.6 |
| Water Genbu | 5.8% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 63.4% | +10.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 59.0% | +6.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Guo Jia | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Wind Overlord | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Wakeup Combo decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 13 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 13 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concealed Marksman | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expeditious Opening | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Extortion Scheme | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiled Dash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backstep | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mad Hatter, Morose Heritor | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |